Cochrane 2026 Update Adds Nine Trials, Keeps High-Certainty Finding That Nicotine E-Cigarettes Improve Quit Rates Over NRT

Sep.07
Cochrane 2026 Update Adds Nine Trials, Keeps High-Certainty Finding That Nicotine E-Cigarettes Improve Quit Rates Over NRT
Cochrane’s 2026 update of its living review on electronic cigarettes for smoking cessation included 80 randomized controlled trials involving 29,861 adult smokers, with nine trials added in this update. The review retained its high-certainty conclusion that nicotine e-cigarettes increase smoking cessation rates compared with nicotine replacement therapy. In absolute terms, about 10 in 100 people using nicotine e-cigarettes may quit smoking for at least six months, compared with about 6 in 100 using NRT. The review found no clear difference in serious adverse event rates between the two groups, while longer-term safety and the relative effectiveness of newer device types remain less certain.

Key Points

  • The 2026 update included 80 randomized controlled trials and 29,861 adult smokers, with nine new trials added; the review’s main conclusions did not change.
  • Across 11 trials involving 4,114 participants, nicotine e-cigarettes produced higher quit rates than nicotine replacement therapy, with a risk ratio of 1.61 and high-certainty evidence.
  • In absolute terms, about 10 in 100 people using nicotine e-cigarettes may quit for at least six months, compared with about 6 in 100 using NRT.
  • Evidence on long-term safety, newer-generation products and differences across device categories remains more limited.

2Firsts

August 26, 2026

Cochrane’s 2026 update of its living systematic review on electronic cigarettes for smoking cessation included 80 randomized controlled trials involving 29,861 adult smokers and added nine new trials. The review retained its high-certainty conclusion that nicotine e-cigarettes increase quit rates compared with nicotine replacement therapy, or NRT, while the authors said the main conclusions had not changed from the previous version.

The review, Electronic cigarettes for smoking cessation, was published in Issue 8 of the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. The research team included investigators from the University of Oxford, Queen Mary University of London, the University of Auckland, the University of Michigan, the University of East Anglia, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Monash University and the University of Massachusetts Amherst. Searches for the 2026 update covered evidence available through January 1, 2026.

Evidence Base Expanded, Main Conclusions Unchanged

The 80 studies included in the 2026 review were all randomized controlled trials, representing a total of 29,861 participants. Nine completed trials were newly added in this update.

The evidence base is not directly comparable with earlier versions simply by study count. Following a 2025 protocol update, the review no longer included uncontrolled single-arm studies and restricted eligibility to randomized trials.

Of the 80 included studies, 40 were conducted in the United States and 16 in the United Kingdom, with others conducted in Australia, Greece, Italy, New Zealand, Canada and several other countries. All participants were adults who smoked cigarettes.

Thirty-four studies reported smoking abstinence outcomes at six months or longer, 35 contributed data on adverse events and 48 reported serious adverse events.

The review examined nicotine e-cigarettes against NRT, non-nicotine e-cigarettes, behavioural support or no support, and other cessation treatments. It also included smaller bodies of evidence on different e-cigarette device types, nicotine strengths and flavour conditions.

Nicotine E-Cigarettes Outperformed NRT on Smoking Cessation

The strongest comparison in the review involved nicotine e-cigarettes versus NRT.

Pooled data from 11 randomized controlled trials involving 4,114 participants showed higher quit rates among people assigned to nicotine e-cigarettes. The risk ratio was 1.61, with a 95% confidence interval of 1.23 to 2.12. Cochrane rated the evidence as high certainty.

In absolute terms, the review estimated that around 6 in 100 people using NRT would quit smoking for at least six months, compared with around 10 in 100 using nicotine e-cigarettes. That corresponds to about four additional quitters per 100 people treated.

The review also examined whether the result differed depending on whether comparator groups received single-form or combination NRT. Sensitivity analyses excluding studies at high risk of bias or studies with tobacco or vaping industry funding did not change the overall direction of the result.

Evidence Was Weaker for Other Comparators

Seven randomized trials involving 1,918 participants compared nicotine e-cigarettes with non-nicotine e-cigarettes.

Nicotine e-cigarettes were associated with higher long-term quit rates, with a risk ratio of 1.34, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.69. Cochrane rated this evidence as moderate certainty.

In absolute terms, about 6 in 100 people using non-nicotine e-cigarettes were estimated to quit, compared with around 8 in 100 using nicotine e-cigarettes.

The review also found higher quit rates when nicotine e-cigarettes were compared with behavioural support alone or no support. Across 11 trials involving 7,214 participants, the pooled risk ratio was 1.75, 95% CI 1.39 to 2.20.

However, this comparison was rated as low-certainty evidence. The review authors cited the difficulty of blinding participants in these studies and differences in the level of support provided between groups, which increased the risk of performance bias.

Serious Adverse Event Rates Did Not Clearly Differ From NRT

Ten studies involving 4,045 participants contributed data on serious adverse events in comparisons between nicotine e-cigarettes and NRT.

The pooled analysis found no clear difference between the two groups, with a risk difference of 0.01, 95% CI -0.01 to 0.02. The evidence was rated as moderate certainty.

For non-serious adverse events, eight studies involving 3,107 participants also found no clear difference between nicotine e-cigarettes and NRT, although the evidence was rated as low certainty because of imprecision and inconsistency across studies.

The authors said the review did not detect evidence of serious short-term harm from nicotine e-cigarettes used for smoking cessation, but larger and longer trials are still needed to fully assess safety.

The review focused on regulated nicotine-containing e-cigarettes. The authors said illicit products and products containing other active substances, including tetrahydrocannabinol, may have different risk profiles.

Product Generation May Matter, but Comparative Evidence Remains Thin

The evidence base included a range of e-cigarette formats, including refillable devices, cartridge products, pod systems and disposable e-cigarettes.

The review noted that nicotine delivery can differ substantially across product types and may influence cessation outcomes. Newer pod-based systems using nicotine salts can deliver higher nicotine levels and may more closely approximate the nicotine pharmacokinetic profile of combustible cigarettes.

However, the number of randomized trials within individual device categories remains too small to support robust subgroup analysis by product type.

As a result, the review does not establish that different generations or categories of e-cigarettes have equivalent cessation effectiveness, nor does it provide a firm ranking of newer versus older product formats.

Cochrane also highlighted newer e-cigarette products as an area where further evidence is needed, particularly because improved nicotine delivery could affect smoking cessation outcomes.

What the Review Means for Industry and Regulators

For regulators, the findings strengthen the evidence base around the use of regulated nicotine e-cigarettes by adult smokers seeking to quit combustible cigarettes, while also reinforcing the need to distinguish those products from illicit devices and products containing other active substances.

For manufacturers and the supply chain, the review indicates that device design and nicotine delivery may matter, but current evidence is not sufficient to determine whether particular product generations or formats produce materially better cessation outcomes.

For investors and industry researchers, the review strengthens the evidence behind one of the most important potential use cases for nicotine e-cigarettes, while leaving major uncertainties around long-term safety, comparative product performance and future regulatory treatment across markets.

For distributors and retailers, the evidence applies specifically to smoking cessation among adults who smoke. It should not be extrapolated to people who have never smoked or to general nicotine use outside a smoking cessation context.

61 Trials Remain Ongoing

The review is maintained as a living systematic review, with searches run regularly and the evidence updated as new studies become available.

In addition to the 80 completed randomized trials included in the 2026 update, the review identified 61 ongoing studies.

After the addition of nine new randomized trials, the authors did not change their central conclusion: evidence that nicotine e-cigarettes increase quit rates compared with NRT remains high certainty, while evidence on long-term safety, newer device types and several other comparisons remains less developed.

Cochrane is an international evidence-synthesis network that evaluates and summarizes medical research through standardized systematic review methods. Its reviews are widely used in clinical, public health and policy decision-making.

Follow 2Firsts for timely updates on tobacco and nicotine science, research developments and industry applications.

Cover Image: Cochrane


Disclaimer

This article is provided solely for professional research, industry discussion, and informational purposes. Any references to brands, companies, products, technologies, or policies are made for factual reporting and analytical purposes only, and do not constitute endorsement, recommendation, promotion, or advertising by 2Firsts.

Nicotine-containing products, including but not limited to cigarettes, e-cigarettes, heated tobacco products, and nicotine pouches, carry significant health risks. Readers are responsible for complying with all applicable laws and regulations in their respective jurisdictions, including age restrictions and access limitations.

The information contained in this article should not be regarded as investment, legal, medical, regulatory, or commercial advice. While 2Firsts strives to ensure the accuracy and reliability of its content, it does not assume liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from errors, omissions, inaccuracies, or reliance on the information contained herein.

This article is not intended for individuals below the legal age for accessing tobacco or nicotine-related information in their jurisdiction.

 

Copyright Notice

This article is either original content produced by 2Firsts or content reproduced, translated, summarized, or adapted from third-party sources with attribution where applicable. The intellectual property rights of the original content remain with 2Firsts or the respective original rights holders.

No individual or organization may copy, reproduce, distribute, republish, modify, translate, or otherwise use this content without prior authorization. Any unauthorized use may result in legal action.

For copyright-related inquiries, corrections, or removal requests, please contact: info@2firsts.com.

 

AI-Assisted Translation and Editing Notice

Portions of this article may have been translated, edited, or reviewed with the assistance of artificial intelligence tools to improve efficiency and readability. Due to the limitations of AI-assisted translation and editing, discrepancies, omissions, or inaccuracies may exist when compared with the original source.

Where applicable, readers are advised to refer to the original source for the most complete and accurate information. If you identify any errors or believe that any content infringes upon your rights, please contact us at info@2firsts.com, and we will review and address the matter promptly.

Smoke-Free Business Hits 42% of Q2 Net Revenue as PMI’s First TNFD Report Covers Single-Use Electronics, Critical Raw Materials and IQOS Repairs
Smoke-Free Business Hits 42% of Q2 Net Revenue as PMI’s First TNFD Report Covers Single-Use Electronics, Critical Raw Materials and IQOS Repairs
Philip Morris International has published its first report aligned with the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures, bringing its electronics supply chain and the use and end-of-life stages of smoke-free devices and consumables into its nature-related assessment. PMI said its smoke-free business accounted for about 42% of total net revenues in the second quarter of 2026. The report says non-circular electronic products, particularly single-use items, can increase consumption of limited natural resources and also details an IQOS repair pilot. A 2040 circularity scenario tests assumptions including a 50% reduction in product waste-related costs, 10% raw-material savings and a 25% substitution rate for refurbished products versus new products.
Sep.23
Former Roche Neuroscience and Rare Diseases Communications Director Ria Kioupritzi Joins PMI as Scientific Affairs Director
Former Roche Neuroscience and Rare Diseases Communications Director Ria Kioupritzi Joins PMI as Scientific Affairs Director
Eleftheria (Ria) Kioupritzi, a biopharmaceutical professional with more than 15 years of experience, has joined Philip Morris International as Director Scientific Affairs within Corporate Affairs. She previously served at Roche as Senior Scientific Communications Director for Neuroscience and Rare Diseases and worked extensively in spinal muscular atrophy. Her earlier career also covered competitive intelligence, clinical and regulatory monitoring, pipeline development and launch preparation. During her time working in Roche's SMA field, Evrysdi passed through several U.S. FDA milestones, including its initial approval, an expanded indication for younger infants and approval of a tablet formulation. Public records do not show that Kioupritzi herself led the FDA submissions.
Sep.22
Special Report | From New York to Washington: How FDA’s Tobacco Center Is Reworking Product Review
Special Report | From New York to Washington: How FDA’s Tobacco Center Is Reworking Product Review
FDA’s Center for Tobacco Products is reshaping how it approaches tobacco product review. Based on 2Firsts’ on-site reporting in New York and Washington, this report traces CTP’s emerging direction: stronger links between PMTA and tobacco harm reduction, more category-specific review, greater emphasis on decision-relevant science, more predictable timelines and expanded use of sPMTA for product modifications. CTP also acknowledged major constraints, including just nine PMTA review teams, persistent backlogs and limits on hiring capacity.
Regulations
Oct.08
PMI Expands U.S. ZYN Portfolio With New 1.5 mg and 8 mg Strengths, Moves Toward a Unified 20-Pouch-Per-Can Format
PMI Expands U.S. ZYN Portfolio With New 1.5 mg and 8 mg Strengths, Moves Toward a Unified 20-Pouch-Per-Can Format
Philip Morris International is expanding its U.S. ZYN nicotine pouch portfolio with new 1.5 mg and 8 mg strengths and plans to move its core 3 mg and 6 mg dry-pouch products from 15 to 20 pouches per can in the fourth quarter of 2026. ZYN ULTRA is also commercially available, with FDA authorization covering 10 products at 9 mg and one 11 mg Smooth product. PMI U.S. lists the new 1.5 mg and 8 mg strengths as commercially available, but as of September 10 they do not appear on the FDA’s public authorization list. Public materials do not identify which PMTA submissions cover the two new strengths or their current review status.
Sep.11
Imperial Brands Sees Double-Digit NGP Growth as Sixth Year of Tobacco Revenue Gains Backs £1.5 Billion Buyback
Imperial Brands Sees Double-Digit NGP Growth as Sixth Year of Tobacco Revenue Gains Backs £1.5 Billion Buyback
Imperial Brands reaffirmed its FY26 guidance in its October 8 pre-close trading update, forecasting double-digit net revenue growth in next-generation products and share gains across heated tobacco, vape and modern oral. Tobacco net revenue is expected to grow at a low-single-digit rate, marking a sixth consecutive year of growth. The company has completed its £1.45 billion FY26 share repurchase and announced a £1.5 billion buyback for FY27. Group adjusted operating profit is expected to increase 3% to 5%, while free cash flow is forecast to exceed £2.2 billion.
Oct.09
IQOS Enters Kantar BrandZ Global Top 100 for First Time, Valued at $36.6 Billion and Ranked No. 74
IQOS Enters Kantar BrandZ Global Top 100 for First Time, Valued at $36.6 Billion and Ranked No. 74
Philip Morris International’s IQOS has entered the Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands for the first time, ranking No. 74 with a brand value of $36.634 billion and becoming one of only three newcomers to the 2026 ranking. Kantar said the combined value of the Global Top 100 reached $13.1 trillion, up 22% year on year, while the threshold for entry rose to a record high. PMI says IQOS has more than 35 million users worldwide and surpassed $10 billion in annual net revenues within a decade of launch.
Sep.03