A recent study in the UK has found that teenagers who vape are three times more likely to become smokers, sparking a heated public debate

Aug.20
A UK study reveals children who frequently use e-cigarettes are three times more likely to become smokers later in life.

Editor's Note:

A British research report published in "Tobacco Control" on August 20th has sparked widespread attention. The report found that children who frequently use e-cigarettes are three times more likely to become smokers in the future compared to others. The research team reviewed 384 studies on adolescent e-cigarette use and compiled 56 reviews.

 

After the release of this conclusion, it was quickly reported and shared by mainstream media in the UK, Ireland, and other countries, highlighting the high level of alertness in society regarding the risks of e-cigarettes for teenagers.

 

A recent study in the UK has found that teenagers who vape are three times more likely to become smokers, sparking a heated public debate
The research conclusion has been reposted by multiple media outlets, and the screenshot shows part of the content on Google News.

 

The following content is translated by 2Firsts from the Daily Mail.

 


 

According to a report by the Daily Mail on August 20th, a UK study found that children who frequently use e-cigarettes are three times more likely to become smokers in the future compared to others.

 

Long-term data has shown that while traditional smoking rates have been declining, the proportion of children using e-cigarettes has increased dramatically. Currently, more than one-third of adolescents aged 16 to 18 regularly use e-cigarettes.

 

Ten years ago, this proportion was less than one-tenth.

 

However, British researchers now believe that these devices may pose a greater threat to children than previously thought.

 

In the largest global review to date on youth e-cigarette use, experts from York University and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) found that those who use e-cigarettes are more likely to smoke more frequently and in larger quantities in the future.

 

Scientists say that frequent use of e-cigarettes may increase the likelihood of developing respiratory diseases and drug abuse.

 

However, other experts are cautious about these findings, pointing out that many of the studies evaluated are purely observational and cannot prove that simply using e-cigarettes will lead to these health problems.

 

In this study, scientists analyzed 56 reviews of 384 studies on e-cigarette use among adolescents.

 

A recent study in the UK has found that teenagers who vape are three times more likely to become smokers, sparking a heated public debate
E-cigarette store shelf image | Image source: Daily Mail

 

A recent study in the UK has found that teenagers who vape are three times more likely to become smokers, sparking a heated public debate
Comparison of trends in smoking rates and e-cigarette usage among adults in the UK | Image source: Daily Mail

 

Among them, 21 articles discussed the relationship between adolescent e-cigarette use and future smoking.

 

The authors of the study wrote in the journal "Tobacco Control" that existing data "consistently indicate a significant association between youth e-cigarette use and subsequent smoking.

 

They stated that it was difficult to "infer causality from their review," but that the strong associations repeatedly seen in prospective cohort studies are consistent with causality.

 

They added that the analysis also indicated that adolescents who use e-cigarettes have an increased risk of developing asthma or worsening asthma.

 

Other harmful consequences related to teenagers using e-cigarettes include pneumonia, bronchitis, decreased sperm count, dizziness, headaches, and migraines.

 

Research has also found a connection between teenagers using e-cigarettes and experiencing depression and suicidal thoughts.

 

Dr. Su Golder, Associate Professor of Health Sciences at York University, stated, "In numerous studies, adolescents who use e-cigarettes are more likely to smoke in the future. These findings support the implementation of stronger public health measures to protect young people from the risks associated with vaping e-cigarettes.

 

A recent study in the UK has found that teenagers who vape are three times more likely to become smokers, sparking a heated public debate
Comparison of the impact on the human body of e-cigarettes (Vaping) and traditional cigarettes (Smoking) over time | Image source: Daily Mail

 

Dr. Greg Hartwell, Clinical Assistant Professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, stated, "We have found consistent evidence about the transition to smoking, which in turn brings multiple harms similar to traditional cigarettes. As the Chief Medical Officer of the UK government has said, promoting e-cigarettes to children is always unacceptable. Our review clearly indicates how important it is to further restrict the tobacco industry that controls the e-cigarette market.

 

Dr. Rebecca Glover, an assistant professor at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and a senior author of the study, added: "The use of e-cigarettes is having a detrimental impact on the health of young people worldwide. Our research provides the most compelling evidence to date that global youth are facing a range of serious physical and mental health harms from using e-cigarettes, with an increased risk of transitioning to smoking.

 

However, other experts who were not involved in the study have called these findings "speculative" and warned that the research analyzed is either observational or of low quality.

 

Professor Ann McNeill, a tobacco addiction expert at King's College London, stated, "The study reported on 56 systematic reviews, with 53 of them being rated as very low or low quality, which means that authors should be extremely cautious before drawing any conclusions. The authors reported that these reviews consistently found an association between e-cigarette use and subsequent smoking. This is consistent with many previous reviews and the results of studies I have been involved in. However, the authors incorrectly suggest that this supports a 'causal relationship'. In other words, that using e-cigarettes leads to smoking - the so-called 'gateway effect'. It is well known that consistency does not imply causation.

 

A recent study in the UK has found that teenagers who vape are three times more likely to become smokers, sparking a heated public debate
Comparison chart of nicotine content in e-cigarettes | Source: Daily Mail

 

A recent study in the UK has found that teenagers who vape are three times more likely to become smokers, sparking a heated public debate
The working principle of e-cigarettes and their harm to the human body | Image source: Daily Mail

 

Meanwhile, Dr. Emma Beard, Associate Professor of Statistics and Quantitative Methods at University College London, said: "The conclusion that vaping is a 'gateway effect' is speculative, especially when the paper points out that on a population level, smoking rates are generally decreasing as the number of e-cigarette users increases. While it is crucial to protect young people, this review clearly indicates that there are significant weaknesses in the existing evidence base on this topic.

 

The impact of nicotine on the brain is well known - within 20 seconds of inhalation, it triggers the release of dopamine and other neurotransmitters associated with reward and pleasure.

 

However, it also causes an increase in heart rate and blood pressure, and constricts blood vessels. This is because nicotine triggers the release of adrenaline.

 

Although officials from the UK National Health Service claim that e-cigarettes are safer than smoking, vaping is not without risks. E-cigarettes may contain harmful toxins and the long-term effects are still not fully understood.

 

Experts are also concerned that high levels of nicotine may raise blood pressure and lead to other heart issues.

 

In 2024, the World Health Organization referred to the evidence regarding e-cigarettes as "complex" in its first-ever guidelines on interventions that may help people quit smoking.

 

The United Nations agency stated that due to a lack of understanding regarding the harms and benefits of e-cigarettes, it cannot recommend them as a method to quit smoking.

 

In June 2025, in response to the sharp increase in teenage e-cigarette use, the sale or provision of disposable e-cigarettes (such as Elf bar and Lost Mary) in stores and online was officially declared illegal.

 

Currently, only devices deemed to be reusable are allowed - devices equipped with rechargeable batteries and interchangeable coils.

 

We welcome news tips, article submissions, interview requests, or comments on this piece.

Please contact us at info@2firsts.com, or reach out to Alan Zhao, CEO of 2Firsts, on LinkedIn


Notice

1.  This article is intended solely for professional research purposes related to industry, technology, and policy. Any references to brands or products are made purely for objective description and do not constitute any form of endorsement, recommendation, or promotion by 2Firsts.

2.  The use of nicotine-containing products — including, but not limited to, cigarettes, e-cigarettes, nicotine pouchand heated tobacco products — carries significant health risks. Users are responsible for complying with all applicable laws and regulations in their respective jurisdictions.

3.  This article is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decisions or financial advice. 2Firsts assumes no direct or indirect liability for any inaccuracies or errors in the content.

4.  Access to this article is strictly prohibited for individuals below the legal age in their jurisdiction.

 

Copyright

 

This article is either an original work created by 2Firsts or a reproduction from third-party sources with proper attribution. All copyrights and usage rights belong to 2Firsts or the original content provider. Unauthorized reproduction, distribution, or any other form of unauthorized use by any individual or organization is strictly prohibited. Violators will be held legally accountable.

For copyright-related inquiries, please contact: info@2firsts.com

 

AI Assistance Disclaimer

 

This article may have been enhanced using AI tools to improve translation and editorial efficiency. However, due to technical limitations, inaccuracies may occur. Readers are encouraged to refer to the cited sources for the most accurate information.

We welcome any corrections or feedback. Please contact us at: info@2firsts.com

Illegal tobacco accounts for 50% of the market in Australia
Illegal tobacco accounts for 50% of the market in Australia
Illegal tobacco trade in Australia reaches more than 50%, prompting concerns over policy failures and rising organized crime.
Aug.07 by 2FIRSTS.ai
Singapore's Health Minister Responds to Queries on Legal Cigarettes and Banned E-cigarettes, Drawing Public Discontent
Singapore's Health Minister Responds to Queries on Legal Cigarettes and Banned E-cigarettes, Drawing Public Discontent
Singapore's Health Minister Ong Ye Kung defended the e-cigarette ban, noting that e-cigarette cartridges have far more nicotine than cigarettes and can equal four packs. His comments sparked criticism on social media, with users questioning his neglect of the harms of cigarette combustion by-products and suggesting the government prioritizes tobacco tax revenue. Many called for regulation instead of a total ban.
Sep.02 by 2FIRSTS.ai
Product | Reaching 60,000 Puffs, Innokin Launches MVP 60K Kit in the UK
Product | Reaching 60,000 Puffs, Innokin Launches MVP 60K Kit in the UK
INNOKIN has recently launched the MVP 60K vape kit in the UK market. The kit includes a 1000mAh built-in battery and three "2+10" combo pods. The company claims a total of 60,000 puffs, and the product offers 9 different flavor combinations. The MVP 60K has been registered in the database of the UK's Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) and is now available on the websites of several UK distributors.
Aug.21 by 2FIRSTS.ai
Mexico Mulls 30% Tobacco Tax Hike from 2026; Industry Warns of Illicit Market Growth and Revenue Losses
Mexico Mulls 30% Tobacco Tax Hike from 2026; Industry Warns of Illicit Market Growth and Revenue Losses
Mexico’s National Tobacco Industry Council (Conainta) has raised concerns over a federal proposal to increase the Special Tax on Production and Services (IEPS) on cigarettes and nicotine products by more than 30% starting in 2026, and to levy up to a 200% tax on alternative nicotine products. Conainta and the Mexican Confederation of Industrial Chambers (Concamin) estimate illicit consumption could climb to 50%, with annual fiscal losses of MXN 13–15 billion.
Sep.22 by 2FIRSTS.ai
Alan Zhao | Compliance, Innovation, and the Industry Shake-up: Lessons from Smoore’s 2025 Mid-Year Report
Alan Zhao | Compliance, Innovation, and the Industry Shake-up: Lessons from Smoore’s 2025 Mid-Year Report
In his analysis of Smoore’s 2025 mid-year report, Alan Zhao notes that U.S. enforcement and Europe’s bans are accelerating industry shake-ups, making compliance capability the dividing line for survival. He argues that Smoore’s strategy has shifted from “understanding” to “executing,” and that the next 12–18 months will be not only a critical transition period for the company but also a decisive stage in reshaping the global vapor industry landscape.
Aug.25
U.S. Fifth Circuit Court Rejects Shenzhen IVPS Appeal: Lack of Abuse Liability Research Key to Loss
U.S. Fifth Circuit Court Rejects Shenzhen IVPS Appeal: Lack of Abuse Liability Research Key to Loss
On July 23, 2025, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit ruled to reject the petition for judicial review filed by Shenzhen IVPS Technology Co., Ltd. (IVPS) and its U.S. distributor ECIGRUSA (Worldwide Vape Distribution) against the FDA, thereby upholding the FDA’s denial of their Premarket Tobacco Product Applications (PMTAs) for six open-system e-cigarette devices and components. The court held that the lack of key evidence on “abuse liability” alone was sufficient grounds to support
Aug.15 by 2FIRSTS.ai