Study Links E-Cigarette Bans to Increased Cigarette Sales

Apr.08.2022
Study Links E-Cigarette Bans to Increased Cigarette Sales
A new study suggests that state-level e-cigarette bans are associated with increased cigarette sales.

According to foreign media reports, a new study suggests that a national ban on e-cigarettes is linked to an increase in cigarette sales. The study, published in the scientific journal "Health Affairs," adds to mounting evidence that banning the sale of e-cigarettes may lead more people to revert back to smoking, which is less safe than using nicotine alternatives.

 

During a three-month study, it was found that an additional 3.4 million cigarette packs were sold through convenience stores across three states.

 

Researchers have used state-level cigarette sales data to discover that Massachusetts, which has implemented a complete ban on nicotine e-cigarettes, has seen a 7.5% increase in per capita cigarette sales compared to expectations. Rhode Island and Washington, which have enacted bans on non-tobacco flavored nicotine e-cigarettes, have an average estimated increase of 4.6% in per capita cigarette sales compared to expectations. Based on actual and estimated cigarette sales, the researchers suggest that an additional 3.4 million cigarette packs were sold in convenience stores across the three states during the three-month study period following the implementation of their respective bans.

 

The study was sponsored by Juul Labs, but has had little impact thus far, possibly due to the belief among many in the tobacco control field that research funded by the industry is biased. This debate may stem from decades of data suppression by big tobacco companies, which has recently resurfaced. For example, the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco (SRNT) now explicitly prohibits industry-sponsored speakers from presenting at its conferences, a move that has led to resignations and condemnation of current tobacco control as "anti-scientific".

 

Researchers examined data from the fall of 2019, when legislators began paying attention to a series of mysterious lung diseases referred to as EVALI, which were quickly associated with e-cigarettes by politicians. Although by November 2019, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) had attributed most cases to contaminated illegal THC cartridges, state governments still stirred up panic and sought emergency bans, which in some cases became permanent.

 

In response to the EVALI outbreak, Massachusetts instituted an emergency ban on all nicotine e-cigarettes starting on September 24, 2019. Rhode Island and Washington followed suit, implementing four-month emergency bans on non-tobacco flavored nicotine e-cigarettes on October 4, 2019, and October 10, 2019, respectively. Massachusetts has since permanently banned the sale of flavored e-cigarette products, including menthol, while Rhode Island and Washington's emergency bans have expired, though a permanent flavor ban remains on the table.

 

Previous research has found similar results to those presented in health value papers.

 

The use of nicotine has not been linked to any diagnosis of EVALI in the field of medicine, but misinformation continues to spread. Under the guidance of sensationalist reporting by policymakers and the media, concerns over the rates of youth vaping have directly sparked fears over deadly vaping products. Misleading information is simple: youth are using e-cigarettes and, in some cases, dying from them. Over two years have passed since the outbreak, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in the US have yet to release any formal correction stating that nicotine e-cigarettes are not associated with lung injuries.

 

Previous research has yielded similar results to the findings of a health-focused paper. Co-authors from Boston University published an article in the Harm Reduction Journal indicating that misunderstandings surrounding EVALI (e-cigarette or vaping product use-associated lung injury) – which led to a ban in Massachusetts – appeared to have increased cigarette consumption across Boston. Moreover, Dr. Abigail Friedman from Yale University found in JAMA Pediatrics that after San Francisco banned flavored e-cigarettes and tobacco products, high schoolers in the city were more likely to smoke than their peers in other similar districts across the US.

 

(Source: Filter)

 

Restrictions on vaping products may have unintended consequences, including an increase in cigarette sales. While policymakers have focused on limiting access to e-cigarettes, they may inadvertently be pushing consumers back to traditional tobacco products. This is especially problematic given the well-documented health risks associated with smoking. It remains to be seen whether tighter regulations on vaping will have the intended impact of reducing nicotine addiction overall.

 


Disclaimer

This article is provided solely for professional research, industry discussion, and informational purposes. Any references to brands, companies, products, technologies, or policies are made for factual reporting and analytical purposes only, and do not constitute endorsement, recommendation, promotion, or advertising by 2Firsts.

Nicotine-containing products, including but not limited to cigarettes, e-cigarettes, heated tobacco products, and nicotine pouches, carry significant health risks. Readers are responsible for complying with all applicable laws and regulations in their respective jurisdictions, including age restrictions and access limitations.

The information contained in this article should not be regarded as investment, legal, medical, regulatory, or commercial advice. While 2Firsts strives to ensure the accuracy and reliability of its content, it does not assume liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from errors, omissions, inaccuracies, or reliance on the information contained herein.

This article is not intended for individuals below the legal age for accessing tobacco or nicotine-related information in their jurisdiction.

 

Copyright Notice

This article is either original content produced by 2Firsts or content reproduced, translated, summarized, or adapted from third-party sources with attribution where applicable. The intellectual property rights of the original content remain with 2Firsts or the respective original rights holders.

No individual or organization may copy, reproduce, distribute, republish, modify, translate, or otherwise use this content without prior authorization. Any unauthorized use may result in legal action.

For copyright-related inquiries, corrections, or removal requests, please contact: info@2firsts.com.

 

AI-Assisted Translation and Editing Notice

Portions of this article may have been translated, edited, or reviewed with the assistance of artificial intelligence tools to improve efficiency and readability. Due to the limitations of AI-assisted translation and editing, discrepancies, omissions, or inaccuracies may exist when compared with the original source.

Where applicable, readers are advised to refer to the original source for the most complete and accurate information. If you identify any errors or believe that any content infringes upon your rights, please contact us at info@2firsts.com, and we will review and address the matter promptly.

French Vape Market Under Pressure as Europe’s First Listed Vape Company Kumulus Vape Reports 7.8% H1 Revenue Decline, Retail Sales Rise 41.5%
French Vape Market Under Pressure as Europe’s First Listed Vape Company Kumulus Vape Reports 7.8% H1 Revenue Decline, Retail Sales Rise 41.5%
Kumulus Vape, Europe’s first publicly listed vape company, reported a 7.8% year-on-year decline in first-half 2026 revenue. Amid changing conditions in France’s vape market, the company said channel diversification helped offset pressure, with physical store sales increasing 41.5% year on year. Listed on Euronext Access Paris in 2019 and later transferred to Euronext Growth Paris, Kumulus Vape is viewed as a representative company of Europe’s vape sector. Its performance highlights the industry’s shift from rapid expansion toward more operationally focused growth.
Jul.27
Malaysia Liquid Nicotine Returns to Poisons List, Leaving Vape Retail and RM354 Million Tax Collection in Legal Uncertainty
Malaysia Liquid Nicotine Returns to Poisons List, Leaving Vape Retail and RM354 Million Tax Collection in Legal Uncertainty
Malaysia’s withdrawal of its appeal in a landmark liquid-nicotine case has left a High Court ruling that struck down the 2023 nicotine exemption in force, bringing liquid and gel nicotine used in vaping products back under the Poisons Act 1952. At the same time, the Control of Smoking Products for Public Health Act 2024 continues to provide a regulatory framework for vaping products, creating uncertainty over retail sales, taxation and existing inventory. MPs are calling for nicotine vape sales and excise collection to stop, including refunds of more than RM354 million collected since 2023, while industry and consumer groups are asking the government to clarify the current legal position.
Sep.04
2Firsts On-Site | PMI Brings IQOS, ZYN, VEEV and Marlboro Together at Its “Boulevard” at InterTabac 2026
2Firsts On-Site | PMI Brings IQOS, ZYN, VEEV and Marlboro Together at Its “Boulevard” at InterTabac 2026
At InterTabac 2026 in Dortmund, PMI is presenting multiple brands and products along “The PMI Boulevard,” including IQOS, ZYN, VEEV and Marlboro. On-site images captured by 2Firsts show dedicated spaces including the IQOS Boutique, ZYN Café, PMI Gallery and Marlboro Office
Market
Sep.16 by 2Firsts Perspectives
UK Sets Oct. 29 Start for New Vape Retail Rules Covering Age Checks, Giveaways and Discounts
UK Sets Oct. 29 Start for New Vape Retail Rules Covering Age Checks, Giveaways and Discounts
The UK Department of Health and Social Care published new guidance on Aug. 11 outlining the next phase of retail rules under the Tobacco and Vapes Act 2026, which will take effect on Oct. 29, 2026. The measures extend the minimum age of sale of 18 to all vaping and consumer nicotine products and restrict proxy purchasing, promotional giveaways and substantial discounts. Relevant offences in England, Wales and Scotland may carry a £200 fixed penalty notice, while persistent offenders can face temporary sales bans.
Aug.12
Iowa Enforces Vape Registry Law as Retailers Warn Product Limits Could Increase Store Pressure
Iowa Enforces Vape Registry Law as Retailers Warn Product Limits Could Increase Store Pressure
Iowa has begun enforcing its vape registry law, requiring vape products to be registered before they can be legally sold in the state. The move follows a decision by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit to lift an injunction that had blocked enforcement. Retailers have warned that tighter product availability rules could increase pressure on vape shops. One Iowa retailer said that if only a limited number of products remain available, many stores could face significant business challenges.
Aug.06
JT Plans ¥800 Billion Investment in Heated Tobacco Over Three Years, Betting on Ploom as Second Growth Engine
JT Plans ¥800 Billion Investment in Heated Tobacco Over Three Years, Betting on Ploom as Second Growth Engine
Japan Tobacco Inc. (JT) CEO Takehiko Tsutsui said the company plans to invest about ¥800 billion (approximately US$5.4 billion) in heated tobacco products over three years through 2028, aiming to establish Ploom as a second growth engine after combustible cigarettes. Tsutsui said Ploom AURA helped JT increase its share of Japan’s heated tobacco market to 15.8% in the first quarter of 2026. Ploom products are now available in 29 markets, with Ploom AURA sold in 25 markets including Japan. JT also plans to continue its cigarette business while positioning its food operations, particularly frozen noodle products in North America, as another growth opportunity.
Jul.23